India's Auto Retail in 2024: Navigating High Inventory, Skill Gaps, and the EV Transition
The Indian auto retail sector is undergoing a significant transformation in 2024, facing challenges such as evolving
consumer expectations, high inventory levels, and the transition toward electrification.
Post-Pandemic Market Stabilization
After experiencing double-digit growth in 2022 and 2023, the market has stabilized to single-digit growth in 2024.
The surge in demand post-COVID led to an expansion of dealerships and OEM touchpoints, but some are now struggling
to maintain market share and viability.
Evolving Consumer Trends
A notable trend is the increasing demand for premium variants and luxury vehicles. Rising disposable incomes and
aspirations of the expanding middle class have driven steady growth in high-end car sales, boosting dealers’
top and bottom lines. This shift has created opportunities for dealerships to cater to a more affluent consumer base
by enhancing customer experiences with personalized services, home deliveries, exclusive events, and bespoke vehicle
customizations.
Mixed Financial Outcomes for Dealerships
While 2023 was financially rewarding for dealerships, 2024 presents a mixed scenario. Dealers representing growing
OEMs continue to thrive, while others face dwindling sales and rising overheads. Challenges such as high inventory
levels, skilled workforce shortages, increasing operational and infrastructure costs, and changing customer
expectations have compounded difficulties for the dealer fraternity.
Skill Shortages Amid Technological Evolution
The rapid pace of technological advancements in the automotive industry, particularly the rise of electric vehicles
(EVs) and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), has underscored the need for a highly skilled workforce.
However, the Indian automotive retail industry is grappling with a shortage of technicians and trained sales staff
proficient in handling these new technologies.
Despite commendable efforts by the Automotive Skill Development Council to bridge this gap, the need for specialized
training remains significant. Servicing and maintaining EVs require distinct skills compared to internal combustion
engine (ICE) vehicles, prompting dealerships to invest in upskilling programs. However, the limited availability of
qualified trainers and technical experts poses a challenge.
Rising Operational Costs
Operational costs for dealerships have surged in 2024. Higher wages for skilled workers, coupled with the expenses of
upgrading technology and maintaining inventory for a broader range of vehicles, have strained profitability. Smaller
dealerships, in particular, struggle to absorb these costs due to limited financial buffers.
OEMs’ digital-first approach to car buying, intended to improve efficiencies, has paradoxically increased costs
for dealerships. Digital integration necessitates additional equipment and expanded tech teams, with little
reduction in manpower or significant gains in productivity.
High Inventory Levels
Dealerships have transitioned from lean inventories in 2020–2023 to excessive stock levels in 2024. Tepid
customer demand since May and unregulated production by OEMs have resulted in inventory levels as high as
80–85 days by September, severely impacting profitability. Unsold stock depreciates quickly, especially with
new model launches or year-end transitions, forcing dealers to offer heavy discounts to clear aging inventory.
Optimism Amid Challenges
Despite the hurdles, the future of auto retail in India remains promising. The electric vehicle push is expected to
accelerate in 2025, with over 15 launches planned across various price points. Additionally, the expanding middle
class will drive demand for both affordable and premium vehicles.
Dealerships must embrace digital transformation, invest in employee training, and adapt to regulatory changes to
thrive in this evolving landscape. Those who navigate these challenges successfully and innovate to meet consumer
demands will be well-positioned to capture growth in India’s dynamic automotive market.